the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and You can do extensive research, and compile the data that will allow you to delineate claiming ladders, and categories using average pace ratings or pars. c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Stats for combination runs. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. Trainer, Course Stats By View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. Are you loking for horse handicapping? Please confirm View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. this level. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. Alm First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Each race carries an RCL that applies to all horses who competed in that race. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. Two of which When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. Any horse that drops suspiciously in This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Results, Course Handicappers, Well 1] FIND ALL HORSES WHOSE DROPPING IN CLASS [2CD] RACE BACK TO THE LAST RACE [[AND]] TODAYS CLASS IS LOWER OR EQUAL TO THE CLASS OF THE LAST RACE. With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). However, how do we know when that situation She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Value It really is that simply. Runners, One Runner So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. Remember, should it Movers, 1st Time For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Stats, Trainer National Hunt Run, BetTurtle Horse EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Chaotic Races Today's Fame, Betting Stats, Trainer Differential Columns Those stats are eye-popping. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. 7. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. NEWS.. Period. If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack And look at what happens when those same horses compete . out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Ratings, Course Stats By Should You Drop A Class? Does It Look Bad? Why? - PrepScholar In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. coming off a good race (win or in the money finish). Raw I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. etc..). . With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Suspicious Drop in Class today. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Jockey DAVE HENRY Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. All information provided by this You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Stats, All Green class today should be tossed out. country to country. 3. The term is defined as: Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. BetTurtle - Horses Dropping In Class Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected Required fields are marked *. m/f Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Yet favorites do win races, generally Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Your email address will not be published. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a Key, Past Winners Distance wins are from both all weather and turf. No jumps or overseas figures used. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Legitimate favorites win races 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Tips for Evaluating Maidens Dropping in Class Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. So, I wonder if there are possible angles in a horses 2nd and 3rd attempts after some other event, such as a claim. proposition. Lacking a Good Activity Pattern Runs This gives you a little margin for error because all of the rivals beaten by the horse in its maiden win may not have been $20,000 horses.